Posted on: March 7, 2026, 12:33h.
Last updated on: March 7, 2026, 12:37h.
- Holloway betting favourite for tonight’s UFC 326 fight against Oliveira
- Oliveira, at +180, has 72% of bets and 59% of handle going his way
- BetMGM spokesperson said he expects their heaviest liability will be on Holloway to win in the last minute of the fifth round
Charles Oliveira is generating the most betting interest for his lightweight UFC fight tonight in Las Vegas against Max Holloway as underdog, according to BetMGM.
Holloway Betting Favourite
Holloway is 27-8-0 (wins/loss/draw), with 12 knockout wins over his career, and is BMF (“Baddest Motherf***er”) champion, largely a symbolic title. Oliveira is 36-11-0, with 10 knockouts going into tonight’s fight, and is coming off a submission win in the second round over Mateusz Gamrot in a UFC Fight Night event last October. Before that was a stunning knockout loss to Ilia Topuria at 2:27 of Round 1 in a lightweight title bout at UFC 317 last June.
BetMGM lists Holloway at -220 for tonight’s fight, generating 28% or bets, 41% of handle. Oliveira is at +180, with 72% of bets and 59% of handle going his way.
Rematch Between Former Champions
The main card gets going tonight at 9 p.m. EST, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.
“The main event of UFC 326 features two of the most exciting fighters we have ever been lucky enough to see compete in Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira,” said Alex Rella, Trading Manager, BetMGM.
“Fans don’t expect this rematch between two former champions to go the distance as our most popular props are Holloway to win by KO/TKO and Oliveira to win by submission. By the time the cage doors close, I expect our heaviest liability will be on Holloway to win in the last minute of the fifth round, given his patented (and epic) point downs once there is only 10 seconds left in a fight.”
Oliveira By Submission
Most bet fights (tickets) are Holloway versus Oliveira, then Drew Dober (-120) vs. Michael Johnson (+100), Cody Garbrandt (+140) vs. Xiao Long (-170), Caio Borralho (-235) vs. Reinier de Ridder (+190), and Gregory Rodrigues (-180) vs. Brunno Ferreira (+145).
After Oliveira, most bet fighters to win (tickets) are Holloway, Garbrandt, Dober, Ferreira, and most bet fighters to win (handle) are Oliveira, Holloway, Raul Rosas Jr. -235), Cody Duren (+140) and Dober.
On the most bet props front (tickets), there’s Oliveira by submission (+300), Holloway by KO/TKO or DQ (+150), Luke Fernandez, in the early prelims, by submission (+1400), Oliveira by decision/technical decision (+1200) and Durden by decision/technical decision (+450).
At theScore Bet, Holloway is -210, Oliveira +180.
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